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Qual 222024 Bayou Regional
Red48
880825.8
59654.7
57855.7
Blue28
37539.2
303924.6
97619.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3845102030506070804828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8808
#30
25.80.1
22.9→22.7
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
red by 1.3
3039
#25
24.60.8
23.6→22.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Second
5785
#47
5.70.2
7.0→6.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 3.7
9761
#45
9.41.3
8.6→7.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
5965
#51
4.70.2
5.4→5.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 4.4
3753
#41
9.20.8
7.4→6.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed