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Red59
238329.8
96998.2
618414.7
Blue77
347840.9
433626.4
94568.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4578020601001201405977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.6
26.927.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
blue by 11.1
40.90.4
33.834.2
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
Second
6184
#42
14.70.6
9.610.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 11.7
4336
#24
26.40.4
25.826.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
9699
#49
8.21.1
8.09.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.5
blue by 0.2
9456
#32
8.40.7
6.87.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed