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Red49
915310.7
36417.7
597110.3
Blue76
406525.1
346818.7
552615.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325602040801001204976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#18
17.70.5
14.715.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 7.4
25.11.0
21.222.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
9153
#39
10.70.5
12.813.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 8.0
3468
#28
18.70.9
13.614.5
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
5971
#27
10.30.8
4.55.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 5.5
5526
#21
15.70.9
12.913.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned