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Red52
93095.3
804433.8
59654.7
Blue51
60685.7
880825.8
18187.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424901020306070805251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
33.80.2
30.330.5
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
red by 7.9
8808
#30
25.80.3
22.722.4
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Second
9309
#31
5.30.2
3.73.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 1.8
1818
#48
7.10.5
10.49.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Third
5965
#51
4.70.3
5.15.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 1.0
6068
#40
5.70.5
10.810.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed