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Red64
72884.3
238329.8
406525.1
Blue29
601723.1
748312.1
93095.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663502060801001206429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
27.227.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
red by 6.6
6017
#35
23.10.4
19.919.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
25.10.5
22.723.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 13.0
7483
#33
12.10.4
11.310.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Third
7288
#50
4.30.8
6.47.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 1.0
9309
#31
5.30.4
3.93.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed