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Red107
347840.9
97619.4
642434.2
Blue35
361624.8
97087.4
915310.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9243020608010012014010735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.3
35.236.5
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 16.1
3616
#20
24.80.7
21.220.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Second
34.21.3
34.635.9
Auto15.4
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 23.5
9153
#39
10.70.7
14.313.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Third
9761
#45
9.42.2
7.810.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.6
red by 1.9
9708
#37
7.41.1
9.68.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed