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Red34
97087.4
360611.8
880825.8
Blue85
433626.4
908437.3
453121.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38980501503485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8808
#30
25.80.5
22.822.3
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
blue by 11.5
37.30.4
35.535.0
Auto15.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Second
3606
#22
11.80.8
9.38.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End0.3
blue by 14.7
4336
#24
26.40.4
25.925.4
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Third
9708
#37
7.40.9
7.48.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.2
blue by 14.3
4531
#13
21.70.5
20.019.5
Auto9.9
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned