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Red58
238329.8
18187.1
361624.8
Blue37
597110.3
303924.6
552615.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53573040506070805837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
25.926.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
red by 5.2
3039
#25
24.60.6
25.725.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Second
3616
#20
24.80.3
17.617.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
red by 9.1
5526
#21
15.70.7
11.110.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
Third
1818
#48
7.10.5
9.810.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 3.2
5971
#27
10.31.0
9.28.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed