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Red56
255617.3
642434.2
408712.7
Blue96
547226.8
142118.3
238329.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687540506080901001101205696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.4
35.935.5
Auto15.4
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 4.4
29.81.9
27.729.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Second
2556
#15
17.30.4
16.716.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 9.5
5472
#16
26.81.9
24.426.3
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Third
4087
#44
12.70.4
10.19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 5.6
1421
#10
18.31.9
15.317.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned