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Red34
806714.3
57855.7
94568.4
Blue76
218319.7
406525.1
566521.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217104060801003476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8067
#23
14.30.5
13.413.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 10.8
25.11.1
23.224.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
9456
#32
8.40.8
6.97.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 13.2
5665
#11
21.61.1
18.419.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5
Third
5785
#47
5.70.8
5.05.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 14.0
19.71.1
16.417.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed