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Qual 492024 Bayou Regional
Red81
880825.8
45625.9
709415.1
Blue91
361624.8
410728.8
346818.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6369405080901001108191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#14
25.91.3
22.3→23.6
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
blue by 2.9
4107
#5
28.81.8
26.2→28.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Second
8808
#30
25.81.3
22.9→24.2
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
red by 1.0
3616
#20
24.81.8
20.5→22.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Third
7094
#29
15.11.3
12.2→13.5
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 3.6
3468
#28
18.71.8
14.8→16.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed