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Red83
97178.9
303924.6
601723.1
Blue37
453121.7
96998.2
18187.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801008337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#25
24.61.3
21.623.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.1
red by 2.8
4531
#13
21.70.1
20.420.4
Auto9.9
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Second
6017
#35
23.11.3
19.520.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 14.9
9699
#49
8.20.1
8.48.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.5
Third
9717
#43
8.91.3
7.28.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
red by 1.8
1818
#48
7.10.1
7.57.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed