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Red89
473839.2
299229.7
36417.7
Blue11
915310.7
59654.7
72884.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105180501502008911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.5
37.036.4
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 28.6
9153
#39
10.71.2
13.612.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Second
29.70.5
30.930.4
Auto10.3
Teleop18.4
End1.1
red by 25.0
5965
#51
4.72.0
5.93.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Third
364
#18
17.70.5
17.016.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
red by 13.4
7288
#50
4.32.0
7.35.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed