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Red51
804433.8
360611.8
806714.3
Blue45
618414.7
57855.7
547226.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6749204060801001205145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
33.80.5
31.931.4
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
red by 6.9
5472
#16
26.80.1
26.326.2
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
8067
#23
14.30.5
13.813.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 0.4
6184
#42
14.70.1
14.514.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
3606
#22
11.80.8
12.411.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End0.3
red by 6.1
5785
#47
5.70.2
5.75.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed