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Red23
908437.3
915310.7
96603.9
Blue67
709415.1
238329.8
527616.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6366304050607080902367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.32.3
38.135.8
Auto15.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 7.6
29.80.2
29.629.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Second
9153
#39
10.72.3
12.410.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 5.6
5276
#17
16.30.2
16.316.4
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Third
9660
#46
3.93.9
7.13.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 11.2
7094
#29
15.10.2
13.513.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed