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Red58
97087.4
299229.7
303924.6
Blue90
93095.3
473839.2
218319.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70630501001502002505890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.6
30.429.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.4
End1.1
blue by 9.5
39.20.8
36.437.2
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
Second
3039
#25
24.60.6
23.022.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.1
red by 4.8
19.70.8
17.418.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End0.9
Third
9708
#37
7.41.0
9.07.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.2
red by 2.1
9309
#31
5.30.8
3.84.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned