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Red82
36417.7
142118.3
361624.8
Blue54
601723.1
37539.2
618414.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6643020801001201408254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#20
24.81.3
23.524.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
red by 1.7
6017
#35
23.10.8
20.821.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
1421
#10
18.31.3
17.218.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 3.6
6184
#42
14.70.8
14.415.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
364
#18
17.71.3
16.517.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
red by 8.6
3753
#41
9.20.8
6.27.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed