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Red52
228322.5
453121.7
57855.7
Blue80
908437.3
552615.7
748312.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5070204060801001205280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#34
22.50.0
20.620.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 14.8
37.31.1
35.837.0
Auto15.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Second
4531
#13
21.70.0
21.521.5
Auto9.9
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 6.0
5526
#21
15.71.1
13.514.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
Third
5785
#47
5.70.1
5.65.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 6.4
7483
#33
12.11.1
11.412.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed