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Red96
218319.7
347840.9
142118.3
Blue54
880825.8
97178.9
36417.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875202040601001201401609654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.6
37.737.1
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 15.0
8808
#30
25.80.2
25.225.4
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Second
19.70.6
18.317.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End0.9
red by 2.0
364
#18
17.70.2
17.818.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Third
1421
#10
18.30.6
18.517.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 9.4
9717
#43
8.90.2
8.28.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed