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Red46
915310.7
222110.3
45625.9
Blue57
804433.8
940510.6
20808.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48550204060801004657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#14
25.90.1
24.824.9
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
blue by 7.9
8044
#12
33.80.4
31.431.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
Second
9153
#39
10.70.1
10.110.2
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
red by 0.1
9405
#38
10.60.7
8.79.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Third
2221
#26
10.30.1
9.49.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.0
red by 1.3
2080
#19
8.90.4
8.59.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed