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Red66
566521.6
93095.3
410728.8
Blue37
59654.7
360611.8
601723.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801001201406637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.2
28.328.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
red by 5.7
6017
#35
23.10.1
21.721.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
5665
#11
21.60.2
19.519.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 9.8
3606
#22
11.80.2
11.611.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End0.3
Third
9309
#31
5.30.2
4.74.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
red by 0.6
5965
#51
4.70.2
5.75.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed