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Red56
96603.9
433626.4
299229.7
Blue59
642434.2
406525.1
60685.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6574204060801005659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.3
29.729.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.4
End1.1
blue by 4.4
34.21.1
34.833.6
Auto15.4
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
4336
#24
26.40.3
26.926.6
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 1.3
25.11.2
24.623.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Third
9660
#46
3.90.4
3.32.9
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 1.8
6068
#40
5.71.8
6.95.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed