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Red70
218319.7
601723.1
804433.8
Blue69
547226.8
45625.9
566521.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85820501001502007069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
33.80.1
33.733.6
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
red by 6.9
5472
#16
26.80.1
27.026.8
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
6017
#35
23.10.1
23.122.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 2.8
456
#14
25.90.1
26.025.9
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Third
19.70.1
19.619.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End0.9
blue by 1.9
5665
#11
21.60.1
21.721.6
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5