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Red89
410728.8
299229.7
228322.5
Blue111
238329.8
642434.2
433626.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910140608012014016089111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.2
30.030.1
Auto10.3
Teleop18.4
End1.1
blue by 4.4
34.20.3
33.934.2
Auto15.4
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
28.80.2
29.029.2
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
blue by 1.0
29.80.3
29.529.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Third
2283
#34
22.50.2
22.722.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 3.9
4336
#24
26.40.3
26.226.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4