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Red76
908437.3
552615.7
406525.1
Blue64
45625.9
566521.6
547226.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878140601001201407664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.0
37.237.2
Auto15.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 10.5
5472
#16
26.80.3
26.726.4
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
25.10.0
25.025.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
blue by 0.8
456
#14
25.90.3
25.825.5
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Third
5526
#21
15.70.0
15.615.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
blue by 5.9
5665
#11
21.60.3
21.521.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5