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Red119
473839.2
191220.9
347840.9
Blue103
238329.8
642434.2
433626.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108996080120140160180119103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.5
39.540.0
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 6.7
34.20.2
34.234.4
Auto15.4
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
39.20.5
37.838.3
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 9.5
29.80.2
29.830.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Third
1912
#36
20.90.5
19.520.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.7
blue by 5.6
4336
#24
26.40.2
26.526.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4