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Red108
908437.3
552615.7
406525.1
Blue82
804433.8
601723.1
255617.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877905010015010882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
37.237.6
Auto15.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 3.5
8044
#12
33.80.2
33.033.1
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
Second
25.10.4
25.025.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 1.9
6017
#35
23.10.2
22.322.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Third
5526
#21
15.70.4
15.616.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.6
2556
#15
17.30.2
17.117.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4