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Red43
59718.7
915312.4
94563.9
Blue37
998812.7
804429.2
99723.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256002040801004337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.40.4
10.911.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 16.8
29.20.8
37.036.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End2.9
Second
5971
#17
8.70.4
8.58.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.1
blue by 3.9
9988
#10
12.71.3
7.56.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Third
9456
#15
3.90.4
7.47.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
9972
#18
3.31.3
4.02.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed