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Red45
142113.4
191218.9
433622.5
Blue73
410730.4
36415.1
218315.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616902040801001204573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.1
19.017.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
blue by 7.8
30.40.7
30.331.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End2.7
Second
18.91.1
23.021.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 3.6
15.40.7
15.816.6
Auto2.1
Teleop12.4
End0.8
Third
1421
#12
13.41.1
14.413.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 1.8
364
#13
15.10.7
15.716.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed