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Red40
9993-0.0
37536.4
299224.5
Blue50
978715.6
99833.1
346819.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060804050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
28.327.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 4.9
19.60.4
17.217.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Second
3753
#14
6.40.3
7.97.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End0.6
blue by 9.2
15.60.4
15.315.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
9993
#16
-0.00.6
4.03.5
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.4
End-0.1
blue by 3.1
9983
#11
3.10.7
6.16.8
Auto0.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed