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Red56
433622.5
410730.4
99723.3
Blue62
142113.4
36415.1
998812.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6237020801005662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.3
31.031.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End2.7
red by 15.2
364
#13
15.11.7
16.418.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Second
22.50.3
17.918.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
red by 9.2
1421
#12
13.41.7
13.315.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
9972
#18
3.30.5
2.73.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 9.4
9988
#10
12.72.9
6.29.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed