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Red62
978715.6
299224.5
410730.4
Blue25
99833.1
59718.7
142113.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941504060801201406225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.9
31.530.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End2.7
red by 17.0
1421
#12
13.40.0
15.315.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Second
24.50.9
27.927.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 15.8
5971
#17
8.70.0
6.06.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.1
Third
15.60.9
15.814.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 12.5
9983
#11
3.10.1
3.03.1
Auto0.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed