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Red1
94563.9
9993-0.0
804429.2
Blue62
998812.7
433622.5
346819.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648102030406070162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.22.7
31.428.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End2.9
red by 6.7
22.51.2
18.119.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Second
9456
#15
3.92.7
7.44.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0
blue by 15.8
19.61.2
16.617.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Third
9993
#16
-0.04.3
3.5-0.8
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.4
End-0.1
blue by 12.7
9988
#10
12.71.9
8.610.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed