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Red56
99723.3
218315.4
299224.5
Blue83
804429.2
94563.9
433622.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485701002003004005005683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.2
24.524.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End1.5
blue by 4.7
29.20.5
27.528.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End2.9
Second
15.40.2
15.415.5
Auto2.1
Teleop12.4
End0.8
blue by 7.2
22.50.5
20.821.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Third
9972
#18
3.30.2
3.33.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 0.6
9456
#15
3.90.5
2.12.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0