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Red46
978715.6
37536.4
346819.6
Blue52
142113.4
191218.9
99833.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48330204060801004652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 0.7
18.90.4
18.018.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Second
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 2.2
1421
#12
13.40.4
12.512.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
3753
#14
6.40.0
6.46.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End0.6
red by 3.3
9983
#11
3.10.6
2.02.5
Auto0.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6