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Red43
99723.3
218315.4
299224.5
Blue43
59718.7
915312.4
998812.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52300204060801001201401604343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.2
24.724.5
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 11.9
9988
#10
12.70.0
11.711.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
15.40.2
15.515.4
Auto2.1
Teleop12.4
End0.8
red by 3.0
12.40.0
11.711.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
9972
#18
3.30.2
3.53.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 5.4
5971
#17
8.70.0
8.08.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.1