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Red49
9993-0.0
410730.4
36415.1
Blue88
804429.2
94563.9
433622.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465901001502002503003504004988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.1
30.430.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End2.7
red by 1.2
29.20.2
28.028.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End2.9
Second
364
#13
15.10.1
15.215.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 7.4
22.50.2
21.321.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Third
9993
#16
-0.00.1
0.00.1
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.4
End-0.1
blue by 3.9
9456
#15
3.90.2
2.62.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0