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Red54
99833.1
191218.9
142113.4
Blue64
59718.7
915312.4
998812.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373301001502002503005464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.4
18.518.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 6.3
9988
#10
12.70.7
11.812.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
1421
#12
13.40.4
12.913.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End2.2
red by 1.0
12.40.5
11.712.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
9983
#11
3.10.6
2.53.1
Auto0.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 5.6
5971
#17
8.70.5
8.08.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.1