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Red113
206730.6
19026.7
573524.2
Blue144
12536.2
346742.8
242319.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86106050150200113144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
30.60.5
30.230.7
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
blue by 12.1
42.80.8
41.141.9
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
Second
190
#19
26.70.5
26.326.9
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
blue by 9.5
125
#1
36.20.8
34.535.4
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Third
5735
#10
24.20.6
23.824.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 4.3
2423
#22
19.90.8
18.219.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0