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Red76
206730.6
19026.7
573524.2
Blue134
12536.2
346742.8
242319.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810905015020076134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
30.60.1
30.730.6
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
blue by 12.1
42.80.8
41.942.8
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
Second
190
#19
26.70.1
26.926.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
blue by 9.5
125
#1
36.20.8
35.436.2
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Third
5735
#10
24.20.1
24.324.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 4.3
2423
#22
19.90.8
19.019.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0