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Red25
856722.9
107316.3
49253.8
Blue53
71625.5
573524.2
79075.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324402060801002553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8567
#17
22.90.4
16.416.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End0.1
blue by 2.6
716
#8
25.50.0
20.920.9
Auto12.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
1073
#21
16.30.4
12.111.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 7.9
5735
#10
24.20.0
12.912.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
4925
#38
3.80.4
2.01.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 1.4
7907
#34
5.20.0
4.44.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed