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Red62
417620.0
972916.0
287731.6
Blue49
53478.0
287627.1
208422.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5451404560656249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.0
25.826.8
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 4.5
2876
#13
27.10.2
22.322.4
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Second
4176
#18
20.00.9
14.115.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 2.1
2084
#11
22.10.2
14.514.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
9729
#14
16.00.9
8.69.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End1.9
red by 8.0
5347
#31
8.00.3
9.59.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed