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Red66
206730.6
107316.3
862619.4
Blue51
35979.7
24622.4
50920.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5745020801006651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
30.61.1
22.323.4
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
red by 8.2
246
#24
22.40.6
18.819.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Second
8626
#26
19.41.1
15.816.9
Auto9.0
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 1.5
509
#7
20.90.6
14.515.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
1073
#21
16.31.1
11.812.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 6.6
3597
#28
9.71.0
8.79.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed