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Red46
346742.8
55639.2
66916.6
Blue57
860415.7
53478.0
192231.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5847020801001201401604657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
38.037.7
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
red by 11.5
31.30.2
23.924.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
Second
5563
#36
9.20.3
6.35.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
blue by 6.6
8604
#29
15.70.4
10.010.4
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
6691
#37
6.60.6
6.96.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.1
blue by 1.3
5347
#31
8.00.4
9.810.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed