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Red63
287731.6
196515.4
66916.6
Blue65
573524.2
431119.9
13128.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47690204060801006365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.1
27.727.9
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 3.2
131
#6
28.40.4
25.425.8
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
Second
1965
#30
15.40.1
12.412.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.2
blue by 8.8
5735
#10
24.20.6
14.615.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
6691
#37
6.60.2
4.95.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.1
blue by 13.3
4311
#15
19.90.4
19.419.8
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed