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Red42
35979.7
856722.9
53478.0
Blue68
620111.5
50920.9
175717.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35460204060804268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8567
#17
22.90.2
16.616.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End0.1
red by 2.0
509
#7
20.90.1
14.714.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Second
3597
#28
9.70.4
7.17.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
blue by 7.9
1757
#16
17.60.2
15.014.7
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Third
5347
#31
8.00.4
9.610.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 3.6
6201
#27
11.50.1
10.510.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned