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Red52
55639.2
208422.1
417620.0
Blue45
860415.7
107316.3
332314.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37432030405060705245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#11
22.11.2
14.615.8
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 5.8
1073
#21
16.30.5
13.413.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Second
4176
#18
20.01.2
13.714.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
red by 4.3
8604
#29
15.70.8
12.513.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
5563
#36
9.21.2
5.66.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
blue by 4.8
3323
#33
14.00.8
12.213.0
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed