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Red82
192231.3
208422.1
107316.3
Blue64
84217.1
19026.7
856722.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6747204060801001208264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.6
26.127.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 4.6
190
#19
26.70.3
21.021.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Second
2084
#11
22.11.6
17.018.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 0.8
8567
#17
22.90.3
18.118.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End0.1
Third
1073
#21
16.31.6
15.316.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 9.2
8421
#35
7.10.3
6.16.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed