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Red111
13128.4
287731.6
206730.6
Blue17
242319.9
53478.0
79075.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9726040608012014016011117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.0
29.231.2
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 11.8
2423
#22
19.91.0
14.613.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Second
2067
#12
30.62.0
23.025.0
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
red by 22.7
5347
#31
8.01.6
10.99.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
131
#6
28.42.0
26.728.7
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
red by 23.2
7907
#34
5.21.0
6.25.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed