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Red74
175717.6
332314.0
346742.8
Blue64
24622.4
196515.4
287627.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8263401001207464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.4
39.439.0
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
red by 15.7
2876
#13
27.10.0
25.125.1
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Second
1757
#16
17.60.6
18.517.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End1.7
blue by 4.8
246
#24
22.40.0
20.320.3
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Third
3323
#33
14.00.6
13.813.2
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 1.4
1965
#30
15.40.0
13.713.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed